Genial/Quaest research released this Monday (27) shows that the senator () leads the dispute for the Government of Paraná with 35% of voting intentions. The second place, with 18%, is state deputy Requião Filho (PDT), son of former governor Roberto Requião.
Sandro Alex (PSD), appointed by the current governor, Ratinho Junior, also from the PSD, registers 5% of intentions, while Rafael Greca (MDB) appears with 15%. Luiz França (Mission) and Tony Garcia (DC) each have 1%.
Blank or null votes total 7%. Undecided are 18%.
The maximum margin of error is three percentage points, plus or minus. The research carried out 1,104 interviews with Paraná voters aged 16 or over from April 21st to 25th.
The survey was registered with the Electoral Court under code PR-02588/2026.
In an alternative scenario tested by the institute, without Rafael Greca and Tony Garcia, Moro appears with 42% of voting intentions in the first round, and Requião Filho with 24%. Sandro Alex and Luiz França get 6% and 2%, respectively.
The former judge also maintains the lead in all second round scenarios. Against Requião Filho, he registered 49% of intentions, against 30% of the potential opponent.
In a direct dispute with Rafael Greca, he has 44% compared to 29%. Against Sandro Alex, he recorded 51% compared to 15% for Ratinho’s ally.
The pre-campaign in Paraná had decisive episodes in March, when Moro agreed to leave União Brasil, where he was suffering resistance, and closed an alliance with presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro, from PL.
Days later, Ratinho Junior gave up on running for President of the Republic and cited as a reason the need to prioritize the dispute to be his successor. After much uncertainty, he chose his former secretary Sandro Alex for the dispute.
A former ally of Ratinho, the former mayor of Curitiba Rafael Greca decided to go to the MDB after realizing that he would be passed over.
Moro, a former judge of Operation Lava Jato, has had an on-and-off relationship with Bolsonarism since leaving the judiciary in 2018 to take over the Ministry of Justice under Jair Bolsonaro’s government.