Without Camilo Santana (PT), the former Minister of Finance Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads first and second round scenarios for the government of Ceará, according to the Quaest survey this Thursday (30).
In the first scenario, Ciro has 41% of voting intentions, compared to 32% for Elmano de Freitas (PT). Eduardo Girão (Novo) accumulates 4% and Jair Pereira (PSOL), 1%. Zé Batista (PSTU) did not score.
Whites, nulls and people who are not going to vote account for 11% among those interviewed in the survey. Undecided people also make up 11%.
Second scenario
Camilo Santana leads the second scenario with 40% of voting intentions, while Ciro Gomes accumulates 33%.
Girão has 5%, while Jarir Pereira and Zé Batista each have 1%.
Undecided voters account for 9% and whites, null voters and people who are not going to vote, 11%.
Third scenario
Ciro Gomes and Santana were not tested in the third scenario. In this case, Elmano de Freitas takes the lead and accumulates 39% of voting intentions.
Roberto Cláudio (União) has 16%, while Eduardo Girão has 8%.
Jarir Pereira has 2% of voting intentions and Zé Batista, 1%.
Undecided voters account for 13% and whites, null voters and people who are not going to vote, 21%.
Fourth scenario
The fourth and final scenario did not test Ciro Gomes or Elmano de Freitas. Thus, Camilo Santana appears in the lead with 49% of voting intentions.
Roberto Claudio has 12% and Girão, 9%. Jarir Pereira and Zé Batista appear tied with 1%.
Undecided are 10% and whites, null and people who are not going to vote, 18%.
Second round
Ciro x Camilo
The second round tested four scenarios. In the first, Camilo Santana appears ahead with 44% of voting intentions, while Ciro Gomes has 39%.
Undecided voters account for 7% and whites, null voters and people who are not going to vote, 10%.
Ciro x Elmano
In the second scenario, Ciro Gomes leads with 46%, compared to 35% for Elmano de Freitas.
Undecided are 8% and white, null and people who will not vote, 11%.
Elmano x Roberto Cláudio
Elmano leads the third scenario with 46% of voting intentions, while Roberto Cláudio has 26%.
Undecided are 9% and whites, null and people who are not going to vote, 19%.
Camilo Santana x Roberto Cláudio
Camilo Santana has 58% of voting intentions in the fourth and final scenario, while Roberto Cláudio accumulates 20%.
Undecided are 6% and white, null and will not vote, 16%.
Methodology
A Brilliant/That’s it interviewed 1,002 voters, between April 24th and 28th, through a face-to-face interview. The survey’s margin of error is 3 percentage points, plus or minus, with a 95% confidence interval.
The research was contracted by Banco Genial and is registered with the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) under protocol CE-01725/2026.
