Brazilians’ expectations regarding the economy have improved in the last three and a half months, according to a Datafolha survey carried out on June 17th and 18th. The survey shows that 36% of those interviewed believe that the economy will improve in the coming months, compared to 30% recorded at the beginning of March. The portion that predicts worsening fell from 35% to 26%. The data was released on Monday night (22nd).
Another 32% believe that the scenario will remain stable, compared to 33% in the previous survey. 6% said they did not know how to answer.
Datafolha interviewed 2,004 people aged 16 or over in 139 municipalities. The margin of error is two percentage points, plus or minus.
Regarding their personal financial situation, 51% of those interviewed said they believe they will improve in the coming months, the same percentage recorded in March. The group that expects things to get worse fell from 14% to 12%.
Optimism is greater among Lula voters and lower-income populations
According to the survey, the expectation of an improvement in the economy is more common among people with a lower level of education (40%), family income of up to two minimum wages (41%) and among those who intend to vote for President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) (52%).
Pessimism is higher among people with higher education (32%), family income greater than five minimum wages (35%) and among those who say they intend to vote for Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) for president (45%).
Perception of the present remains negative
Despite the improvement in expectations, the assessment of the current situation remains more negative. According to Datafolha, 45% stated that the Brazilian economy has worsened in recent months, a percentage similar to the 46% recorded in March. Another 22% said the economy had improved, compared to 24% in the previous survey, while 32% said it had remained the same.
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When assessing their personal financial situation, 31% said it had gotten worse, compared to 33% in March, and 29% said it had improved, compared to 30% in the previous survey. Variations are within the margin of error.
