Bolsonaro Judgment: Prison can go from 1 to 11 years – 09/09/2025 – Power

Striking characters of how Débora Rodrigues dos Santos, known as, and Maria de Fátima Mendonça Jacinto Souza, Fatima de Tubarão, may be less than two years in closed regime due to the scammers of January 8.

Already accused of involvement in the may be 7 to 11 years in this regime, if considered the maximum penalties of the crimes of which they are accused. The picture has exceptions, such as the whistleblower and former joint of orders from (), Mauro Cid, and Federal Deputy Alexandre Ramagem (PL-RJ), who has part of the suspended criminal action.

In the case of persons already convicted of direct participation in the depredation of the three powers, the calculation of time for the progression occurs from the percentage of the sentence served and the abatement of the period in pre -trial detention.

In some situations, the preventive was decreed in January 2023 and extended for almost two years. Until August 12, the (Supreme Federal Court) held 1,190 people for the episode. Of this total, 638 were convicted, 279 of which for serious crimes against democracy.

In this last scenario, those involved were generally convicted of attempted violent abolition of the Democratic Rule of Law and attempted coup, armed criminal association, deterioration of heritage and qualified damage. The maximum total penalty for these crimes can exceed 40 years.

A Sheet He calculated the time for the regime progression of some of these characters, considering the need to have met 25% of the closed sentence, a scenario established to primary inmates who committed crimes with violence or serious threat.

In practice, this calculation involves more details, such as personal characteristics of the sentenced and subjective aspects and objectives taken into consideration in the judicial analysis, explains criminal lawyer Ana KraSovic.

Known for having stroked the statue of Justice, Débora Rodrigues was 14 years in prison, 12 years and 6 months of seclusion and 1 year and 6 months of detention, in closed initial regime.

Calculating 25% for progression from the time of imprisonment, Debora could request the regime progression after about three years. The calculation is made considering the time of imprisonment, not the total penalty, because the stipulated detention does not admit the closed initial regime.

Since Deborah has been in custody two years, she would have her about a year before going to the semi -open, she plays Alamiro Velludo Salvador Netto, professor of USP Criminal Law.

Other elements can accelerate progression, such as good behavior. Deborah has been on March in house arrest because she has a child under 12. The specificity, however, does not change the type of initial regime closed from the legal point of view, explains Netto.

“House arrest is given as an exceptional measure due to factuality as a health condition, but the regime is still closed.”

Maria de Fátima, filmed on January 8, talking about “Catching Xandão”, in reference to the STF minister, was the penalty of 17 years. Of this total, there are 15 years and 6 months of imprisonment and 1 year and 6 months of detention, which would lead to the possibility of a law enforcement for 3 years and 11 months.

Her defense informed Sheet which he managed to slaughter the sentence 1 year and 9 months due to pre -trial detention and 207 days for good behavior. With that, it could leave the closed regime in less than two years.

Another example is Antonio Claudio Alves Ferreira, the man who broke clock on the Plateau. Condemned in June 2024, he had the same penalty as Maria de Fátima.

In July 2025, Moraes granted a rendering of deduction from the provisional arrest period, which lasted from January 24, 2023 to December 6, 2024. He also allowed the 66 -day discount due to work and reading activities. Removing them from the time of imprisonment, Antonio could leave the closed regime after 1 year and 10 months.

A month earlier, he was released due to the decision of a judge from Minas Gerais, where he is arrested. Moraes, however, since Antonio had not served 25% of the sentence.

In the case of the defendants at the central core of the coup plot accusation, the trip to the semi -open, in case of conviction, may give after 7 or 11 years to Almir Garnier, Anderson Torres, Augusto Heleno and Paulo Sérgio Nogueira.

This calculation considers the maximum penalties of the five crimes of which they are accused and is also done illustratively, as in practice the condemnation of each defendant may vary.

Counting considers the 25% compliance with the necessary penalty before progression in cases with violence, and the 16% when the judge considers that there was no violence or serious threat in crimes.

To, with the aggravation that it can be framed as the leader of the criminal organization. , the politician may not have the abatement of current house arrest, which comes from another process.

Specificities also exist for branching, which has the suspended criminal action for damage and deterioration, crimes that would have been committed on January 8, after their diploma. The judgment of the two offenses must occur after the end of the mandate.

In his case, a request for progression could come with 5 years and 11 months (progression in scenario without violence) or 9 years and 3 months (with violence).

The general, in turn, can take a maximum of 10 years and 3 months with the deduction of the stipulated in December last year.

Cid’s case generates three hypotheses. If the request for his defense was accepted, the military would have judicial forgiveness or would serve a sentence of two years, which would result in an initial open regime.

Once the reduction of a third suggested by PGR due to omissions in the denunciation, the maximum penalty would be 29 years. With this, he could ask for progression after almost 5 or 7 years.

Without the agreement, the military would face a maximum penalty of 43 years, which would result in 7 or 11 years in the closed regime, such as most other defendants of the crucial nucleus.

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