Survey released this Friday (27) shows the president with 38% of voting intentions, against 36% for the senator in the 1st round
O president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) and the senator Flavio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) appear technically tied in all scenarios first round of the presidential racein addition to also recording a technical draw in the second round, according to research released this Friday (27) by the Gerp institute.
No first scenario, Lula has 38% of voting intentions, against 36% for Flávio Bolsonaro. Then they appear Ciro Gomes (7%), Junior Mouse (4%), Romeu Zema (3%), Ronaldo Caiado (3%), Renan Santos (1%) e Aldo Rebelo (0%). None of them amount to 3%, and 6% did not know or did not respond.
Research released this Friday (27) by the Gerp institute.
No second scenario, Lula has 38% and Flávio Bolsonaro, 37%. Following are Ciro Gomes (7%), Ronaldo Caiado (5%), Romeu Zema (5%), Renan Santos (1%) and Aldo Rebelo (3%). None of them register 3%, while 4% did not know or did not respond.
No third scenario, there is a numerical tie between Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula, both with 37%. Ciro Gomes appears with 7%, followed by Ratinho Júnior (5%), Romeu Zema (4%), Renan Santos (1%) and Aldo Rebelo (0%). None of them amount to 4%, and 4% did not know or did not respond.
In the fourth scenario, Flávio Bolsonaro scores 40%, against 38% for Lula. Then appear Ciro Gomes (7%), Romeu Zema (5%), Eduardo Leite (3%), Renan Santos (1%) and Aldo Rebelo (0%). None of them have 3%, and 4% didn’t know or didn’t respond.
Second round
In the second round, the survey indicates Flávio Bolsonaro with 48% of voting intentions, and Lula with 45%. Another 5% said they would vote for none of the candidates, and 3% did not know or did not respond.
Rejection
In the rejection section, the survey shows that Lula leads, with 51% of those interviewed saying they would not vote for the PT member. Then it appears Flavio Bolsonarowith 45% rejection.
Among the other names tested, Low registers 16%, tied with Eduardo Leite (16%). Junior Mouse appears with 15%, followed by Ronaldo Caiado (13%) e Ciro Gomes (12%). Renan Santos e Aldo Rebelo they have 11% each. Furthermore, 1% of respondents said they could vote for any of the candidates, while 1% said they would not vote for any of them. Another 2% did not know or did not respond.
Methodology
The survey interviewed 2,000 people. The data were weighted according to gender, age group, income of the head of the household and regions of the country. The margin of error is 2.24 percentage points, with a confidence level of 95.55%. The interviews were carried out between March 20th and 25th, 2026. She is registered with the TSE with number BR-02846/2026
