The company warned of the significant impact on Portugal of the announced closure of the Ryanair base in Berlin, scheduled for the end of October, pointing out direct consequences for air links with the country.
According to the consultancy specialized in aviation and tourism, the airline’s decision translates into a sharp reduction in connectivity, especially at Porto and Faro airports.
Despite the closure of the base, made up of seven aircraft, Ryanair will maintain operations in the German capital from other bases, ensuring connections to several European destinations.
However, for Portugal, the situation is different, as direct flights between Berlin and national airports will end on October 24th.
Significant reduction in air supply
To assess the impact of the decision, SkyExpert analyzed data from November 2025, a period in which Ryanair operated direct connections between Berlin and Lisbon, Porto and Faro.
That month, the company carried out 22 flights to Faro, 30 to Lisbon and 17 to Porto, totaling more than 13 thousand available seats.
These numbers represented around half of the air capacity between the German capital and Portugal in low season.
With the end of these connections, the scenario projected for November 2026 points to a significant drop in supply.
Faro and Porto without direct connections
From next winter, Faro and Porto will no longer have direct flights to Berlin, while Lisbon will concentrate on existing connections.
SkyExpert emphasizes that this situation creates a scenario of less competition, with the capital assuming a dominant position in connections between the two countries.
In total, the monthly offer is expected to fall from around 30 thousand to 16 thousand seats, with the number of flights reducing from 156 to 89.
This scenario is considered particularly worrying for tourism in the low season.
Impact on tourism and market uncertainty
The consultancy also points to an overall reduction of around 50 thousand seats between Germany and Portugal during the winter, a trend that should continue in the following months.
“We are facing an abrupt monthly contraction in air connectivity between Portugal and one of its most valuable markets. It is not just a question of having fewer flights. What we will have is less direct access, less competition and, inevitably, this will be reflected in the number of tourists from this proximity market in the low season”, says Pedro Castro, director of SkyExpert.
The executive admits that it is still uncertain whether other companies will compensate for this reduction in supply.
“It is still very premature to say whether or not TAP, easyJet or Eurowings will adjust their offer to compensate for this decline in Ryanair”, he adds.
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