The president of the (Superior Electoral Court), minister, suspended this Monday (8) what showed a drop of six percentage points in the voting intentions of the senator (-RJ) in a possible second round against the president (PT).
The survey was released on May 19th.
Kassio partially complied with , which states that the survey questionnaire was “structured in such a way as to seriously induce a negative perception” about the senator. The Bolsonarista also maintained that the arrangement of questions and themes, with “the use of associations between the pre-candidate, contaminates him and induces the responses of those interviewed.”
In his decision, Kassio stated that, in fact, such circumstances corroborate the arguments that indicate “the possible use of inductive stimuli capable of contaminating subsequent responses regarding image, rejection and voting intention, reinforcing the legal plausibility of the thesis that the research may have gone beyond the limits of regular statistical measurement”.
The minister appointed by the former president (PL) stated that this is not a methodological disagreement, but a possible induction of the interviewee based on the questionnaire, “especially due to the sequential order of the questions and the use of expressions with a negative value”.
Previously, Atlas had already stated in a note that there were no methodological problems in the research.
According to the questionnaire made available by Atlas to the TSE, the content of an audio from Flávio to Vorcaro was shown to interviewees, but as the last item in the survey. Voters who collaborated in the survey were asked 48 questions, the first of which were about their voting intentions.
In the last question, respondents analyzed a video with audio and could drag to the right when they were “evaluating it more positively” and to the left when they were “evaluating the content more negatively”. The play had images of Flávio and Vorcaro, to illustrate the dialogue.
Flávio’s pre-campaign arguments used to request the suspension of the research by two experts consulted by Sheet.
Although they see no signs of manipulation or induction of the main results, they make some technical reservations regarding the survey.
