Trump boasts of having bombed 5,000 targets in one day – by the way, they have destroyed, as the Taliban did with works of art and architecture in Afghanistan, the Golestan Palace in Tehran, a World Heritage Site since 2013 – but what is the relevance of these objectives from a strategic point of view? Ask this to the Secretary of War, Pete Hegsethis asking for pears from the elm. Hegsethlike Trumpparticipates in an orgy of mass destruction. That’s all.
Now, how come the Strait of Hormuz was not considered a strategic piece in the Pentagon’s war games?
One possible answer: it was an unprecedented event. Because the Strait of Hormuz has never been closed.
Certainly, but when you launch a war of the magnitude of the one undertaken, can its closure be ruled out?
In May 1967, Egyptian President Gamal Abdel Nasser announced the closure of the Gulf of Aqaba (Tiran) in the Red Sea (Indian Ocean) to all Israeli shipping and ships transporting strategic materials to the port of Eilat.
Israel’s response was the so-called six-day war.
The inability to predict what has happened to the Strait of Hormuz reflects, in summary, the adventure in which it has entered Trumpguided according to the map drawn by Netanyahu.
Iran processes 900 million barrels of its crude oil per day and exports them from the small island of Kharg, located in the Persian Gulf 28 kilometers from the coast. One option, for example, to avoid leaving in the hands of Iran what is equivalent to the nuclear button in terms of oil and gas supply, would have been to control the 22 square kilometer island under the custody of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard. That is to say: snatching part of the coast of the Strait of Hormuz from Iran. “You prepare 80,000 marines, hijack the island and keep it under your control,” he says. Scott Rittera former Marine and intelligence officer who participated in United Nations inspections that found no weapons of mass destruction in Iraq.
A map depicting the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, Iran and the Gulf of Oman / Europa Press/Contact/Andre M. Chang
“Now, when they take control, you will be subjected to Iran’s ballistic missile attacks. But we don’t have the necessary marines, we would have to transport quite a few marines by amphibious maritime transport, which would be risky, and would also take months. The international economy, then, would suffer a collapse,” he reasons. Ritter.
The effects of 13 days of war and 13 days of closure of the Strait of Hormuz, since February 28, are already a fact with the rise in the price of crude oil above $100/barrel from $63/barrel last January. And with the uncertainty about a stronger repercussion if the war continues.
The North American economy, according to one of the most senior North American investors and economists, Jim Paulsonis already partially in recession. “Technology may be the tail that wags the dog, but the rest is a recession by another name,” according to a note sent to its clients this Thursday, February 12. “If you exclude the investment of the new era [inteligencia artificial AI]the other 89% real private spending rose only 1% in 2025, the year in which gross domestic product (GDP) grew 2.3%.
The state of denial is such that this Thursday Trump He held electoral events in Ohio and Kentucky in which he has sold that prices are falling and salaries are gaining purchasing power. It’s exactly the opposite.
The first written announcement of Mojtaba Jameneithe new supreme leader, in the sense of guaranteeing the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and demanding that the Gulf countries close the US military bases – if they want to avoid further attacks from Iran – confirms that Trump has managed to do anything but bring to its knees the Islamic Revolutionary Guard, which now has more power than before the assassination of Ali Jameneí on February 28, 2026.
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