Senator and former Minister of Justice Sergio Moro (PL) is comfortably leading the dispute for the government of Paraná and could be elected in the first round. This is what a survey by the Paraná Pesquisas institute, released this Monday (13), shows.
In the first stimulated scenario, Moro appears with 46% of voting intentions, ahead of Rafael Greca (MDB), who has 19.7%, and Requião Filho (PDT), with 17.7%.
Scenario 1 – Government of Paraná (with Rafael Greca)
- Sergio Moro — 46.0%
- Rafael Greca — 19.7%
- Requião Filho — 17.7%
- Guto Silva — 3.6%
- Tony Garcia — 1,5%
- Luiz França — 0.7%
- Don’t know/Didn’t give an opinion — 4.4%
- None/Blank/Null — 6.4%
In a scenario without Rafael Greca, Sergio Moro reaches 52.5% of voting intentions and could also win the dispute in the first round. In this projection, Requião Filho appears in second place, with 22.9%, and Guto Silva in third, with 5.9%.
Scenario 2 – Government of Paraná (without Rafael Greca)
- Sergio Moro — 52.5%
- Requião Filho — 22.9%
- Guto Silva — 5.9%
- Tony Garcia — 2,3%
- Luiz França — 0.9%
- Don’t know/Didn’t give an opinion — 6.4%
- None/Blank/Null — 9.2%
In another scenario, without Greca and Alexandre Curi, the former judge could also be elected in the first round, with 50.9%.
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Scenario 3 – Government of Paraná (without Greca, with Alexandre Curi)
- Sergio Moro — 50.9%
- Requião Filho — 22.0%
- Alexandre Curi — 11.7%
- Tony Garcia — 1,8%
- Luiz França — 0.7%
- Don’t know/Didn’t give an opinion — 5.3%
- None/Blank/Null — 7.6%
Dispute for the Senate
In the race for the Senate, Alvaro Dias (MDB) leads in the scenarios in which he is tested by Paraná Pesquisas. Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) appears in second place and takes the lead in a possible dispute without the former senator.
Check out the projections:
- Alvaro Dias — 44.5%
- Deltan Dallagnol — 28.2%
- Alexandre Curi — 22.9%
- Hoffmann’s Blues — 22,5%
- Filipe Barros — 20.9%
- Cristina Graeml — 15.3%
- Rosane Ferreira — 4.0%
- Don’t know/Didn’t give an opinion — 5.0%
- None/Blank/Null — 8.7%
Scenario 2 – Senate (without Alvaro Dias)
- Deltan Dallagnol — 30.1%
- Alexandre Curi — 29.3%
- Filipe Barros — 25.9%
- Hoffmann’s Blues — 24,8%
- Cristina Graeml — 17.4%
- Rosane Ferreira — 7.2%
- Don’t know/Didn’t give an opinion — 6.5%
- None/Blank/Null — 12.5%
Scenario 3 – Senate
- Alvaro Dias — 48.0%
- Deltan Dallagnol — 30.3%
- Filipe Barros — 26.3%
- Hoffmann’s Blues — 24,7%
- Don’t know/Didn’t give an opinion — 6.9%
- None/Blank/Null — 9.7%
To reach the results, the Paraná Pesquisas institute interviewed 1,500 voters in the state between April 10th and 12th. The margin of error is 2.6 percentage points, plus or minus. The survey is registered with the Superior Electoral Court under number PR-06559/2026.
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