US currency rose 0.39%; B3’s main index closed at 169,613 points
The commercial dollar rose 0.39% this Tuesday (June 16, 2026) and ended the trading session sold at R$ 5,086. Ibovespa, B3’s main index, fell 0.47%, to the 169,613 points.
Markets are still reacting to the peace agreement between the USA and Iran, announced on Sunday (June 14). The agreement between the 2 countries alleviated economic uncertainties, but investors’ caution still shows some concern about the stability of the agreement.
Here are the peaks and lows recorded by the main assets throughout the session:
Dollar (in R$)
- maximum: R$ 5,103;
- minimum: R$5,049.
Ibovespa (in points)
- maximum: 170,416;
- minimum: 169,121.
FOCUS BULLETIN AND FEES REVIEW
The inflation projection also impacted the scenario. The Focus Bulletin released on Monday (June 15, 2026) by the Central Bank raised the estimate for the IPCA (Broad National Consumer Price Index) from 5.11% to 5.30%, an index that measures the country’s official inflation, in 2026. It is the 14th consecutive week of an increase in the projection for the country’s official inflation indicator. Here is it (PDF – 778 kB).
Defined by the CMN (National Monetary Council), the inflation target is 3%, with a tolerance range of 1.5 percentage points up or down. With the new review, the projection moves even further away from the target ceiling of 4.5%. For 2027, the estimate for the IPCA also increased, going from 4.03% to 4.10%.
SUPER 4th
Now, markets are focusing their attention on the so-called Super 4th, scheduled for June 17, when the Fed (Federal Reserve, the US monetary authority) and the Central Bank of Brazil will release their monetary policy decisions.
Interest rate settings influence expectations for inflation, economic activity and global capital flow. Signs of maintenance or change in the path of rates usually affect the behavior of the dollar, stock markets and government bond yields.
